•  
    •  
    •  
    •  
    •  
    •  
    •  
Opacity

Warming in East Africa

Key messages:

  • Temperature rises at the same level as the global scenario (+2°C or +3°C)
  • The temperature elevation is rather uniform in space and consistent between the models

Why is the content of this map important?

A +2° warming has important consequences in this region, in particular in semi-arid areas, because temperature controls evaporation, and therefore soil water budget. As the increase in precipitation is not expected to be large in East Africa, there is a risk of water shortage.

.

Which sectors are affected by this result?

A temperature increase impacts many sectors as hydrology, agriculture or energy. Warmer temperatures have also a negative impact on health.

What is shown on the maps?

The map of the +2°C scenario shows a warming between 1°C and 2°C, with more than 2°C along the Red Sea. The map of the +3°C shows an acceleration of the warming, with more than 3°C over large parts of the domain. The models are fully consistent about the sign and rather consistent about the amplitude of the temperature change.

Details and further information:

The table below shows the average temperature (°C, land only) during the annual cycle.

month J F M A M J J A S O N D
1971-2000 20 21 22 23 24 23 23 23 23 22 20 20
+2°C 21 23 24 25 26 25 25 25 25 24 22 21

 

Additional information:

Author:

Michel Déqué

Meteo France (MeteoF), France